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It’s the day after everything opened, that is to say it’s the day after Christmas, which means that we already have a look at how this weekend could play out. And with Wednesday’s numbers in, it’s going to be a battle for the top slot, likely between Martin Scorsese‘s The Wolf of Wall Street, and Peter Jackson‘s The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug.

Wolf  came in second yesterday, and though it could pick up, the R rating and length mean that it’s likely to bump up against The Hobbit 2, which has been out in theaters for a while, but not defeat it. If families are going to see movies this weekend, it’s unlikely that people with kids will choose Wall Street as their family film.

What’s interesting is that the other new films don’t seem to have any traction. Grudge Match opened in ninth place with four million. 47 Ronin did seven million, not terrible, but… and Ben Stiller‘s The Secret Life of Walter Mitty did nearly eight million. This weekend all of these films could do between $15-$25 Million, and possibly come close to repeating those numbers next weekend, which means these films that will never hit the top spot could all make some decent coin. This is what happened last year with Jack Reacher, But with no surging interest, it’s hard to see them sustaining well after the holidays are over.

Things could also go higher than opening day for some of these pictures this weekend. Mitty could spike in interest, and a lot of people spend their Christmas day with their family. Having a holiday mid-week definitely makes it harder to be certain. That noted, it’s a little surprising that Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues is holding as well as it did against the newcomers (it made a little over eight million).

So let’s do this:

  1. The Hobbit 2 - $24 Million
  2. The Wolf of Wall Street – $22.7 Million
  3. The Secret Life of Walter Mitty – $19.5 Million
  4. Anchorman 2 – $18 Million
  5. American Hustle – $17.5 Million

Hustle is looking like a sneaky winner here, and is in a good place to go over $100 Million domestic. Will that help cement it as the Oscar front-runner, who’s to say?

What are you going to watch this weekend?