Pacific Rim was the film of the weekend – whether it won or lost – for film geeks and box office prognosticators. It got to nearly $40 Million. Is it a win? Sort of. Is it a lose? Sort of, also.
|1||Despicable Me 2||$44,754,000 (-46.4)||$11,180||$229,237,000|
|2||Grown Ups 2||$42,500,000||$12,174||$42,500,000|
|4||The Heat||$14,000,000 (-43.5)||$4,476||$112,363,000|
|5||The Lone Ranger||$11,140,000 (-61.9)
|6||Monsters University||$10,621,000 (-46.1)||$3,380||$237,760,000|
|7||World War Z||$9,430,000 (-48.8)||$3,140||$177,087,000|
|8||White House Down||$6,150,000 (-54.4)||$2,397||$62,963,000|
|9||Kevin Hart: Let Me Explain||$5,000,000 (-50.2)||$5,605||$26,378,000|
|10||Man of Steel||$4,825,000 (-57.7)||$2,244||$280,995,000|
First, let’s just say that Despicable Me 2 is doing phenomenal business, and is already past $200 Million after twelve days of release. It seems unlikely to get over Iron Man 3‘s $406 Million, but $300 Million will happen at this point, and it should breeze past Man of Steel in the near future.
So, as for the Pacific Rim, and the Pac Rim vs. Grown Ups 2 discussion, here’s what’s up. PR opened about as well as could be expected. The studio thought they might be in the high twenty range at some point, so this is stronger than they thought. The film is also playing well internationally, all things. Sequels tend to be front loaded, so though Grown Ups 2 came in second place, it should fall relatively quickly next weekend. It all depends whether or not it acts like a sequel, or if it acts like an Adam Sandler film. These numbers suggest the film should end up in the $130-$150 range. But this is Sandler’s first sequel. Are there people who might want to see this but don’t because they haven’t seen the first film?
Pacific Rim needs to hold up. It can get past $100 Million domestic, and that’s not a bad number, but the film obviously cost more than that. It has a listed production budget of $190 Million. It may be saved by international, but at the end of the day it’s a movie about robots fighting monsters starring a bunch of TV actors. a near $40 Million opening is a little miracle. But it won’t make money domestically, and it’s more likely to get into the black once it hits home video. But it’s no Lone Ranger.
The Heat is playing and it’s already past $100 Million, it’s a huge success. The Lone Ranger may limp past $100 Million, but probably won’t.
Elsewhere, World War Z may or may not make it to $200 Million, just as Man of Steel may or may not make it to $300 Million. But both, if their production budgets are to be believed, have made money.
Reality Check: I went a little low on the new movies, but was right about most things. I’ll take it.
What did you watch this weekend?