Lou Taylor Pucci in TriStar Pictures' horror EVIL DEAD.It’s hard to want to talk numbers after the recent announcement of Roger Ebert‘s passing. He was as important to modern film culture as any living filmmaker. This weekend brings Evil Dead and the 3D reissue of Jurassic Park, but there will likely be a pall over this weekend as cineastes remember one of the most famous critics to ever discuss movies.

It’s April, which means that it’s a slightly off season, which is the perfect time for a film like Evil Dead. Though there’s no names attached to the project (except as producers) it’s a remake, and a well-hyped horror movie. Horror tends to have a box office ceiling, it’s been years since a film like The Exorcist or Silence of the Lambs has broken through to the mainstream, and even the Paranormal Activity films have topped out at around $100 Million (when they’re successful). So what would be best for this movie is a big opening, and then hope for a decent play. The film has a listed production budget of $17 Million, so if that’s the case, they’ve got a good shot of making money. Expect a number in the mid to high 20′s, perhaps even a little over $30 Million.

Jurassic Park is a well loved film by Steven Spielberg, so it should do better than some of the more recent reissues. With inflated ticket prices, it should be in the top five, and could be a spoiler.

So, numbers:

  1. Evil Dead - $27.5 Million
  2. The Croods – $18.3 Million
  3. G.I. Joe 2 – $17 Million
  4. Jurassic Park 3D : $13.5 Million
  5. Tyler Perry’s Latest – $9 Million

And then Sunday we can reflect on these numbers.

What are you going to watch this weekend?