After this past weekend the Best Picture Oscar race may be over. Ben Affleck‘s period thriller Argo has gained some more awards season momentum, catapulting the picture back in front. Many are speculating as to how much longer the second wave of Argo love may last, but we’re here to investigate it this week on Oscar Scuttlebutt.
The first piece of awards evidence to examine this week is the winners for this year’s SAG Awards. The best talent Hollywood came together to honor their fellow colleagues. Most of the award winners were fairly predictable, ranging from Jennifer Lawrence nabbing one for Silver Linings Playbook and Daniel Day-Lewis for Lincoln, but it was the Outstanding Ensemble in a Motion Picture category that threw many off. The night before Hollywood found out that Ben Affleck, George Clooney and Grant Heslov won the Producer’s Guild of America Darryl F. Zanuck award for their work on Argo. Already they were riding off the surge of rediscovered popularity that the film was emitting to many. Some are already speculating that Argo just locked itself in to win Best Picture in a few weeks time. The PGA and the SAG award wins could change the game.
That powerful surge that once carried Zero Dark Thirty to the top of critics’ Oscar predictions charts has almost completely died between the start of December to now. Silver Linings Playbook is getting some love for Bradley Cooper and Jennifer Lawrence’s performances, but aside from that, hasn’t been winning any other awards this month. While Lincoln is still considered to be the next big Oscar frontrunner in this race, Argo may have snuffed out the picture’s chances of winning the main prize. At least it’ll walk away with Best Supporting Actor for Tommy Lee Jones and Best Actor for Daniel Day-Lewis. His performance is strong enough to drown out other nominees, and Steven Spielberg has a strong likelihood of getting Best Director. But as far as Best Picture goes, the Academy may be already sculpting the title Argo onto the little plaque.
That said, the Oscar winners haven’t been announced just yet and the race isn’t over. We still need to find out who’s going to win the Directors Guild of America award this coming weekend. Let’s face it, there’s a strong chance it’ll either go to Steven Spielberg or Ben Affleck. It would be absolutely wonderful to see Kathryn Bigelow walk home with the award for the second time in her career, and it may be the boost this picture needs in order to get back into the running. The Best Picture race is so mixed up at this point we’ll have no idea who could be the surefire winner until we – at least – see who wins at the DGA Awards.
Now onto our own predictions. Yes, Argo‘s chances have risen considerably within the past weekend for the picture to win it all, but don’t count out Lincoln just yet. The lack of Ben Affleck in the Best Director’s section of the Oscar nomination list has slightly diminished the film’s chances of winning, but not by that much. If Steven Spielberg were to suddenly come out of the DGA Awards this coming weekend victorious, then Lincoln‘s chances shoot up. In regards of who we want to win, we’re a fan of both Lincoln and Argo, but Lincoln is more than likely going to be a historical film about the sixteenth president’s struggle to equalize a younger America that we’ll see played for years to come in history classes, while Argo‘s a critical darling that not only shows how fantastic Ben Affleck is behind the camera, but also paints a prettier picture on Hollywood than other ones have in recent years. Because of that we’d have to say that Argo will end up winning Best Picture after all, but we want Lincoln to win.
If you really want to know who won what at this year’s SAG Awards, check out the list below (via The Huffington Post):
Outstanding Ensemble in a Motion Picture: Argo
Outstanding Male Actor in a Leading Role: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Outstanding Female Actor in a Leading Role: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Outstanding Male Actor in a Supporting Role: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Outstanding Female Actor in a Supporting Role: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Outstanding Ensemble in a Drama Series: Downton Abbey
Outstanding Male Actor in a Drama Series: Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Outstanding Female Actor in a Drama Series: Claire Danes, Homeland
Outstanding Ensemble in a Comedy Series: Modern Family
Outstanding Male Actor in a Comedy Series: Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Outstanding Female Actor in a Comedy Series: Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Outstanding Male Actor in a TV Movie or Miniseries: Kevin Costner, Hatfields & McCoys
Outstanding Female Actor in a TV Movie or Miniseries: Julianne Moore, Game Change
Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture: Skyfall
Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a TV Series: Game of Thrones
Do you think the Oscar race is over?