Though far from disastrous, American Reunion didn’t get the nostalgia buzz hoped for, and may become the least appealing film in the American Pie box set (there’s eight films in total if you include the direct to video set). So for the third weekend in a row, The Hunger Games has taken the crown. It also passed the $300 Million dollar mark. Check out the top ten…
|1|| The Hunger Games
|4||Wrath of the Titans||$15,010,000 (-55.1%)||$4,234||$58,899,000|
|5||Mirror Mirror||$11,000,000 (-39.3%)||$3,040||$36,473,000|
|6||21 Jump Street||$10,200,000 (-31.2%)||$3,390||$109,577,000|
|7||Dr. Seuss’ The Lorax||$5,000,000 (-35.8%)||$1,665||$198,200,000|
|8||Salmon Fishing in the Yemen||$975,000 (-23.4%)||$1,861||$4,639,000|
|9||John Carter||$820,000 (-59.6%)||$808||$67,973,000|
|10||Safe House||$581,000 (-25.5%)||$1,205||$124,751,000|
As we are watching the contract negotiations being played out in the public-sphere with Gary Ross, it’s readily apparent that Lionsgate is ready to make their follow up, and it’s because these numbers are excellent – the film crossed $300 Million after 17 days (Note: ’17 Days’ is also a great Prince B-side). Though international hasn’t caught up with the stateside total, the film has already done over a hundred overseas, which means the film has already quintupled its near $80 Million dollar budget. Which also means the sequel will likely be that much bigger, and that is why we’re having such public negotiations.
Reunion might have done better had they thought to make the film in 2009 (when the series was ten years old) instead of now. That the film wasn’t very good didn’t help. Though the film should make $60 Million or possibly even $80 Million, getting everyone back – if even for a second – meant that they had pay to more than they did the first time. At best it was a minor victory of a cash grab, if not not barely break ever.
Titanic was thought to be a stronger contender, but the longer run time meant less shows a day, and a bigger commitment for people who have likely already seen the film. It’s hard to say what’s a win for a 3-D post conversion. It’s not like the film hadn’t already made its money back and then some after it’s record-breaking 1997 release. At this point, the question is how much it takes do the conversion, something that they had been tinkering with for almost a decade.
Mirror Mirror and Wrath of the Titans are both films that will be made or broken by international. Neither look to do $100 million domestic, but their international fates are far from over. 21 Jump Street crossed $100 million and then some, and it will surely be big at home. Otherwise, it’s dregs. John Carter keeps getting kneecapped and will have to settle for a $70 million domestic total. It may be a very bad year for Disney, it depends on how much credit they get for The Avengers. Hopefully Brave is a winner.
Reality Check: I overestimated Titanic, and underestimated week three of Hunger Games, but it appears the latter has done a little bit of leveling off. If it slips 30-40% next weekend, it’s got a good shot at four weeks in the top slot, and a clear shot at doing over $350 Million, though $400 might be out of reach. By then it will be facing summer competition, and that means The Avengers.
What did you see this weekend?